Archive for the ‘economic indicators’ Category:

U.S. GDP: not a recession, but still not very encouraging

{ Posted on Jan 27 2012 by James Hamilton }
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP grew at an annual rate of 2.8% during the fourth quarter of 2011. That's better than any of the previous 5 quarters, which tells you more about how ...Read More »

Miscellanea: America’s Lost Decades, Wisconsin’s Lost Year, Hi Frequency Measures, Europe, and Conditional Inflation Targeting

{ Posted on Jan 19 2012 by Menzie Chinn }
Lost Decades Here’s my 25 minute presentation of Lost Decades at the Rotary Club of Madison, on January 4th (as recorded by Wisconsin Eye) Powerpoint. One point I made was that the global financial crisis and ensuing recession have exacted ...Read More »

"The first thing we do, let’s kill all the beancounters."

{ Posted on Nov 29 2011 by Menzie Chinn }
(With apologies to Shakespeare). Or, how political discourse in America is becoming more like that in Greece. I’ve been away in Europe for much of the last few weeks, and have heard plenty about the euro crisis (and US fiscal paralysis). ...Read More »

Dispatches (XV): Wisconsin Macroeconomic Indicators

{ Posted on Nov 18 2011 by Menzie Chinn }
Here are some macro indicators for the Wisconsin macroeconomy. In sum, civilian employment is rising (to essentially 2011M01 levels), but nonfarm payroll employment is declining; private sector employment (ex-farm) is flat, while government employment is declining; and leading indicators are ...Read More »

The Economy Slows Here and Abroad

{ Posted on Nov 17 2011 by Menzie Chinn }
And what we can do about it From Macroeconomic Advisers and e-forecasting, some recent reads on the macroeconomy: Read More »

CBO on Income Inequality, and Interpreting OWS

{ Posted on Oct 29 2011 by Menzie Chinn }
Tabulating Inequality Trends The CBO released a report on income inequality earlier this week. This means that the "inequality deniers" are having a more difficult time arguing that widening spreads an wages, compensation, or overall income are merely statistical artifacts dreamt ...Read More »

Could be worse

{ Posted on Oct 27 2011 by James Hamilton }
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that U.S. real GDP grew at an annual rate of 2.5% during the third quarter of 2011. That's below the average postwar growth rate of 3.2% and well below the 4.3% growth ...Read More »

Wealth Inequality: A Time Series Plot

{ Posted on Oct 13 2011 by Menzie Chinn }
Dismissing the plots of income inequality in previous posts [0] (related posts [1] [2]), an Econbrowser reader asks: "Do you concur that measures of the wealth distribution have been mostly quiescent since the 1970s and that the distribution of wealth ...Read More »

Crowding Out Watch, Again

{ Posted on Oct 11 2011 by Menzie Chinn }
I thought my March post on crowding out would be my last for a while, but the latest data are startling enough so that I wanted to post this graph of ten year real interest rates. Just for all those ...Read More »

The World Close to Stall Speed

{ Posted on Oct 11 2011 by Menzie Chinn }
Or at least OECD plus China *, on the basis of the OECD's Composite Leading Indicators for August 2011: Read More »